Word: daytons
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...crisis for the Palestinian security forces could come a lot sooner than Dayton's two-year deadline if Abbas steps down. Abbas is threatening to walk because he says Israel is not serious about achieving a two-state solution, citing as Exhibit A its refusal to halt all settlement construction in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. But his departure could cause the collapse of the Palestinian Authority. As chief Palestinian peace negotiator Saeb Erekat explained, Abbas "sees no state coming ... so he really doesn't think there is a need to be President or have an Authority. This...
...collapse of the Palestinian Authority could spell the end of Dayton's painstaking efforts to create a security force that can enforce law in the West Bank and stop militants from launching attacks on Israel and its settlers. Many Palestinians view the security force as collaborators carrying out Israel's bidding, and a crisis in morale could result if Abbas and the Palestinian Authority leadership signal that no Palestinian state is in the offing...
...creation of Dayton's security force has been one of the few success stories in recent U.S. efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Trained in Jordan, and equipped by Egypt with U.S. funding - by 2011, the U.S. will have spent $260 million - the battalions were deployed in Jenin, Nablus and Hebron. They cleaned out the armed gangs, caught drug traffickers and mediated between feuding Palestinian clans. With less crime and traffic eased slightly by fewer Israeli roadblocks, economic growth has risen 7% this year in the West Bank...
...killed a top Hamas operative. In the ensuing gunfight, three policemen were also shot dead, but the incident showed the Israelis that the security troops were willing to go toe to toe with Hamas. "We're quite satisfied", says the Israeli officer who acts as a liaison with Dayton and the Palestinians. Still, there are limits to how far the Israelis are willing to trust the fledgling Palestinian force. "We see progress, but we won't give them full control of the cities. They're not capable of fighting Hamas and Islamic Jihad...
...outbreak of protests early next year, and if so, Abbas' Fatah party may decide that the best way to regain its legitimacy with the Palestinian voters and win back support lost to Hamas will be to condone open resistance against the Israelis. If that happens, it's unlikely that Dayton's men will be able - or even willing - to stop an outbreak of anti-Israeli violence in the West Bank...