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...admission of that sort of nuance may wind up undermining part of the appeal of forecasts: how a single number can quickly jump from an economist's spreadsheet to a politician's stump speech or a businessman's PowerPoint presentation. "Forecasts satisfy a deep psychological need that we live in a somewhat predictable and controllable world," says Philip Tetlock, a professor of organizational behavior at the Haas School of Business at the University of California, Berkeley. "Those are essential stories. People just find the truth" - that the future is unknowable - "too dissonant...
...Part of the reason Turkey adopted the new legislation was to comply with requirements set out by the European Union, which the country is seeking to join. But the law also dovetails with the Islamic-rooted government's deep distaste for tobacco and alcohol. None of Erdogan's ministers smoke, and previous governments had been trying to introduce similar laws for years, only to be stymied by strong pressure from tobacco lobbyists. Turks spend almost $25 billion a year on cigarettes. (Read: "New Turkish Law Curbs Military's Power...
...part of the brain that accounts for the urge to swear - or yelp, in the case of animals - is deep within, suggesting its primitiveness. Studies of non-human primates show that vocalization is nearly always attributed to subcortical processes in the brain, in those regions that control primal, raw emotions, says Diana Van Lancker Sidtis, a professor of speech language pathology and audiology at New York University. In humans too, the urge to swear likely stems from primitive parts, but it is usually overridden by commands from the brain's more complex cortex - the abundant gray matter on which humans...
Breaking the Silence claims in its report to have been contacted by soldiers, most of whom "are still serving in their regular military units and turned to us in deep distress at the moral deterioration of the IDF." The group admits that there are gaps in the accounts it published but says the testimonies nonetheless question the credibility of the IDF official account. The group suggests that the killing of civilians was not simply a product of individual mistakes or "delinquent" soldiers but that they resulted from a "systemic problem...
...onions from nearby Yilan county inform strips of salted pepper pork. It's good, rustic stuff, harking back to when Taiwan was a farming and fishing province, not a high-tech enclave enthralled by Japanese aesthetics and American doughnuts. It's also the perfect antidote to Taiwan's indigestibly deep-fried street food and its slavishly nostalgic showcases of other Chinese regional fare. (See the top 10 food trends...