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...Yields are also bound to go lower because demand for U.S. government debt will easily match supply, even though Washington must sell hundreds of billions of dollars in bonds in coming months to fund stimulus measures and bank rescues. Consider the uncanny parallel between the composition of assets on bank balance sheets in 1929 and balance sheets at the start of this crisis. The ratio of loans to investments, which include Treasuries and other securities, was 2.6:1 in 1929 and 2.8:1 in 2008. During the early period of the Great Depression, banks restructured their balance sheets to reflect...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Bet on Bonds | 2/11/2009 | See Source »

...bank balance sheets will inexorably move into safer instruments given the wealth destruction that has occurred in riskier assets over the past year (and which will continue for the foreseeable future). If the banking sector alone were to move toward its more conservative 1935 ratios, then the increased demand for government paper from that source alone would be $700 billion...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Bet on Bonds | 2/11/2009 | See Source »

...likely that shifts in household and corporate investment patterns will produce even greater demand - which is why U.S. 10-year notes remain attractive, not for their paltry yield but for their capital-gain potential. The next bull market will be concentrated in government paper - even as confidence in government itself erodes...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Bet on Bonds | 2/11/2009 | See Source »

...recovery of U.S. vehicle sales when that happens. While Toyota and other Japanese companies are cutting back some capacity, they are not going through a process which would essentially gut much of its production ability. As a recovery takes shape, the Japanese company will be able to meet demand without a colossal struggle to get plant after plant back online...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: When Does Detroit Run Out Of People To Cut? | 2/10/2009 | See Source »

...However, recent behavior this year has raised doubt about the “entrepreneurial” spirit of Harvard students. After Harvard-Yale tickets were sold out, it became apparent that there was a large gap between supply and demand. Students—such as seniors who did not want to miss their last Game—scrambled for tickets, pleading over e-mail lists for those with extra. Within minutes, some students offered up their tickets for free, at face value, or a little above. However, these benevolent e-mails were immediately followed by those from...

Author: By Shiv M. Gaglani | Title: Entrepreneurs or Extortionists? | 2/10/2009 | See Source »

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