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...Recession or Recovery? In a major report on oil demand this week, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, which monitors global oil markets, said the world would use about 900,000 more bbl. of oil a day next year than this year and by 2012 would fully recover to its 2007 prerecession levels. OPEC is also betting on a fast global recovery. Angola's oil minister, José Maria Botelho de Vasconcelos, the current rotating OPEC head, told the meeting attendees in Vienna on Wednesday that "the darkest days of financial turmoil and economic recession are behind us." That belief...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Oil Prices Stabilize; Can OPEC Keep Them That Way? | 9/11/2009 | See Source »

...futures markets, in which investors bet on which way oil prices will go. Oil officials blame speculators for volatile prices, and some financial analysts agree. "It is market psychology which is propping up prices," Morse says. If investors believe that the recession is near an end and that demand will soar, they could pour money into oil futures and drive up world prices. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission in Washington is weighing new rules that would limit how much money a hedge fund or investor can trade in oil (or any other commodity). In an article in the Wall Street...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Oil Prices Stabilize; Can OPEC Keep Them That Way? | 9/11/2009 | See Source »

...options prices have fallen either because there is less demand for them, or perhaps due to oversupply as the market has been saturated by financial firms wishing to sell these options. The VIX may have continued its descent because investors do not fear a market crash enough to buy insurance at the same premium. Or perhaps more banks are writing options - selling insurance on a possible market crash...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Stock Volatility Is Down. But Is That Good News? | 9/11/2009 | See Source »

...should have had little effect beyond his immediate family. One lost job is a microscopic event in the massive organism of the U.S. economy. In good times, America sheds 2.5 million jobs a month but creates nearly 3 million new ones. Rolling unemployment allows businesses to adjust to demand, improving efficiency and fueling growth. A healthy economy compensates job losers by creating new jobs for them. America's economic athleticism has been the envy of other countries, a key to its success...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Ripple Effect: What One Layoff Means For A Whole Town | 9/11/2009 | See Source »

...unhealthy economy, a single lost job becomes infectious, combining with others and spreading through family, neighborhood and community. Widespread cutbacks in spending by families mean lower demand for businesses and lower tax revenues for the government. This belt-tightening means fewer car sales and thus fewer jobs for car-part makers. It means less government spending on infrastructure and other public services, including economic development. The sum effect is less available work for job seekers - a perfect vicious circle. For a well-educated job loser like Whitfield, it can mean a permanent drop in earning power and standard of living...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Ripple Effect: What One Layoff Means For A Whole Town | 9/11/2009 | See Source »

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