Word: disarmement
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...more pressure than ever. He has signaled his grudging acceptance of the U.N. Security Council plan to deploy 15,000 Lebanese Army troops to southern Lebanon, but he has resisted demands that Hizballah lay down its arms--raising the prospect that government and multinational forces will be forced to disarm Hizballah themselves. If a cease-fire takes hold, many Lebanese may feel emboldened to lash out against Hizballah for its capturing of two Israeli soldiers on July 12, which prompted the Israeli military response that has killed some 1,000 Lebanese and left 1 million displaced. "After the guns fall...
...would destroy his newfound aura as Islam's defiant redeemer. He may agree in principle to a cease-fire, but it's doubtful he will ever allow Hizballah to be totally defanged, since the group's arms enable Nasrallah to call the shots in Lebanon--and moving to disarm Hizballah by force could trigger a civil war. Some see a clue to Nasrallah's intentions in the Koranic verse inscribed on the Hizballah flag adorning his television broadcasts. PREPARE FOR THEM WHATEVER FORCES YOU CAN MUSTER, it reads. Nasrallah's war may be just getting started...
TIME: ARE YOU CONFIDENT THAT LEBANON WILL BE ABLE TO DISARM HIZBALLAH AFTER THE CESSATION OF FIGHTING...
...makeup and capability of the Lebanese Army render it unthinkable, say military observers and government officials, for it to forcibly disarm Hizballah or take control of southern Lebanon. More than one third of the army's personnel is Shi'ite, drawn from a community in which Hizballah is overwhelmingly popular. And as long as it is the only force fighting the Israelis inside Lebanon, Hizballah's support would be even wider, making it even less likely that the government could order the Army to move against it. "The Lebanese Army will never be given any orders to disarm any militia...
...disarming Sadr's army may prove, if anything, even more difficult than disarming Hizballah in Lebanon. That's because the three-year campaign of terror against Shi'ite civilians by Sunni insurgents has led the community to see its militias, rather than the central government, as its only protection. As that violence escalates, the likelihood diminishes that these communities will support any effort to forcefully dismantle the militias. Nor can an agreement to disarm be easily orchestrated by removing the insurgent threat, since the branch of the insurgency responsible for targeting the Shi'ites is led by al-Qaeda...