Word: dollarization
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...That strength turned out to be temporary. A ballooning U.S. budget deficit and escalating government debt has made the dollar currency non grata in many quarters once again. An index that measures the greenback's value against a basket of major currencies, including the euro and yen, has fallen about 15% from a three-year high reached in March and is now hovering near a 14-month low. Economists and analysts expect the dollar to lose a lot more ground. Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Japan's banking giant Sumitomo Mitsui, believes the Japanese currency could strengthen...
...dollar finally used up the last of its nine lives? There are worrying signs that the world is losing its appetite for dollars. The International Monetary Fund announced on Nov. 2 it was selling 200 metric tons of gold to India's central bank for $6.7 billion. News of the purchase sent gold prices to an all-time high. The move was widely seen as part of an effort by central banks around the world to diversify their extensive U.S. dollar holdings. Steven Englander, chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays Capital in New York City, figures that in the second...
...that shift from talk to action continues, the consequences could be severe and wide-ranging. Central bankers are the currency market's buyer of last resort, and thus the private sector's view of the dollar's value and stability can be heavily influenced by what they do. Still, there are many constraints to how far and fast the dollar falls. The issue facing central bankers is a complex one. They may wish to limit their exposure to a weakening dollar, but they don't relish the ugly fallout from doing anything to further weaken it. "We certainly...
...worry of central bankers is how a softening dollar could impact a global recovery. Countries that have currencies strengthening against the dollar face the prospect that their exports would become pricier in world markets, a situation policymakers wish to avoid as their economies are just now crawling out of recession. China, one of the world's largest holders of dollars, doesn't appear likely to allow its currency, the renminbi, to significantly appreciate against the dollar any time soon, despite increasing political pressure from Washington to do so. China's Commerce Minister, Chen Deming, said at the recent Canton Trade...
...These sources of support may not last forever. Warren Buffett warned in a New York Times editorial in August that the unrestrained buildup of U.S. government debt - and the likely need to print money as a result - would inevitably undermine the dollar's value. "Unchecked greenback emissions will certainly cause the purchasing power of currency to melt," the sage of Omaha wrote. "The dollar's destiny lies with Congress." Richard Portes, a professor of economics at the London Business School, believes that central banks will increasingly see other currencies, especially the euro, as more reliable storehouses of value. "The idea...