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Bush's bearishness may also reflect the influence of his chief economic adviser Larry Lindsey. The former Federal Reserve governor has been sour for so long on the economy's prospects that he cashed out all his stocks in 1997, when the Dow Jones average was still at 8,500. And for Lindsey, a dedicated supply sider, the remedy for recession just happens to be a tax cut. Most economists insist, however, that tax cuts have very little effect on recessions, largely because their benefits kick in too late to affect the problem. To pre-empt his critics, Bush could...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Slowdown: Is A Tax Cut The Right Remedy? | 1/8/2001 | See Source »

...they could just as easily have named it for Lake Wobegon. For a while, investors acted as if every stock was above average. And companies that were in favor were wildly in favor. Just how giddy was it? Remember the name of 1999's buzzy, fast-selling financial Bible? Dow...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Slowdown: This Time It's Different | 1/8/2001 | See Source »

That's because an unprecedented 49% of American households today own stocks, either directly or through mutual funds and 401(k) plans, compared with just 4% in 1952. When the market rises, Americans feel wealthy. In 1999, when the Dow gained 25% and the NASDAQ soared 85%, household assets swelled by $5.5 trillion. This "wealth effect" translates into increased spending. The rule of thumb is that for every additional dollar in their portfolios, Americans spend another 3[cents] to 5[cents]. That discretionary income is critical: consumer spending constitutes almost two-thirds of the nation's economic activity...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Slowdown: This Time It's Different | 1/8/2001 | See Source »

...some cases, the fixes will take time. The NASDAQ just turned in the worst year of its 29-year existence, falling 39%. The Dow and the S&P 500 were also losers last year. The more than $2.5 trillion of vanished stock-market wealth since March won't be easy to get back. The NASDAQ, for example, would have to rise more than 15% a year for five years to return to its high. Meanwhile, consumer debt (excluding mortgages) has doubled over the past decade and averages nearly $15,000 per household. It will take years for borrowers...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Slowdown: How To Navigate The Storm | 1/8/2001 | See Source »

...Bush?s bearishness may also reflect the influence of his chief economic adviser Larry Lindsey. The former Federal Reserve governor has been sour for so long on the economy?s prospects that he cashed out all his stocks in 1997, when the Dow Jones average was still at 8,500. And for Lindsey, a dedicated supply sider, the remedy for recession just happens to be a tax cut. Most economists insist, however, that tax cuts have very little effect on recessions, largely because their benefits kick in too late to affect the problem. To pre-empt his critics, Bush could...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Is a Tax Cut the Right Remedy? | 12/30/2000 | See Source »

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