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...What is the all-time Dow Jones high, and when was it reached...
...What was the Dow Jones average when it hit a 12-year low in December...
...THREE-STEP RULE. Around for about 30 years, this well-worn rule holds that any stock market move, large or small, up or down, happens in three stages. The Dow Jones industrial average made three huge strides upward between its low of just 93 in 1942 and its 1966 peak of 995. Since then, the market has experienced three major declines, the most recent one beginning in January 1973 after the Dow hit its alltime high of 1,052. Gould reckons that there is at least an even chance that this third decline in the series ended with...
...YEAR-ENDING-IN-5 CYCLE. A new notion just beginning to circulate on the Street, this theory is based on a historical observation that years ending in the number 5 have almost always been "upward trending"-that is, years in which the Dow closed in December well up from the low reached earlier in the year. The leading proponent of this cycle, Ralph Acampora, technical analyst at Manhattan's Harris, Upham & Co., believes that the 1975 trading low will be about 500 and the trading high, by year's end, will be around...
...FOUR-YEAR CYCLE. Every four years since 1958, some analysts have observed, the market has hit a major bottom and then rebounded smartly. Stocks rose briskly after the Dow bottomed out at 437 in 1958, at 536 in 1962 and at 631 in 1970. Four-year men thus believe that the 1974 low reached in early December was an important bottom that must be followed by a sharp upturn...