Word: downturns
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...able to take over for the U.S. as the locomotive of the world economy, and everyone will drag down everyone else. Overall, the IMF expects world economic growth to slow to 3% in 2009, from 5% in 2007, and it warns, "The world economy is now entering a major downturn in the face of the most dangerous shock in mature financial markets since the 1930s." Wright of the Royal Bank of Canada predicts, "The U.S. will go into a shallow recession, unfortunately followed by a shallow recovery...
...Economics professor Benjamin M. Friedman ’66, for example, noted that had economists seen the future in early 2007, “they almost certainly would have forecast a steeper downturn, with many more layoffs.” That is a striking insight. It is unpopular to say that the U.S. economy is resilient when firms are failing, but what story is told by the facts? Unemployment now exceeds 6 percent in the United States but it declined by 159,000 in September. In France, for example, the unemployment rate was nine percent (or more) in nine...
...Last week, the McCain campaign reacted to a polling downturn by shuttering its operation in the state of Michigan and redistributing staff to Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Maine, where electoral votes are distributed by congressional district. In a conference call last week, Mike DuHaime, the McCain campaign's political director, acknowledged that the national mood and Obama's deep pockets had put previously solid Republican states like Indiana in play...
...Instead, worries are growing that a severe economic downturn in the U.S. and Europe could hurt export-driven Asian economies more than originally thought. Turmoil in Europe as governments scramble to cobble together their own bailout packages has convinced Asia that the contagion will spread far from Wall Street. "We felt pretty good that our economies are stronger," says Song Seng Wun, an economist at CIMB-GK Research in Singapore. "Problems seemed to be other people's problems." But recent events "have made us realize that we aren't entirely safe. It looks like the problem might be closer...
...rapidly. "Uncoordinated rescue operations, far from restoring confidence, are further fueling fears among savers and investors," said Daniel Gros, director of the Center for European Studies in Brussels. Such actions are pushing Europe "toward a full-fledged banking crisis," he said, with the "likelihood of a serious economic downturn [looming] ever larger...