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...great risk, as consumers like Calderon cut their spending, is that bad economic news begets more bad news. Bernanke recently called this the "adverse-reaction loop": as consumers spend less, the economy weakens more, unemployment rises, mortgage foreclosures increase, putting more pressure on the financial system, and on the downward spiral goes. Capital Economics' Ashworth acknowledges that the "scenario is out there. It can't be totally dismissed. This deleveraging process could get very, very scary...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Living in a World with Less Credit | 10/23/2008 | See Source »

...Mohammad's sentiments echo those of a handful of diplomats and military commanders in Afghanistan who have warned that the country is in a "downward spiral." Afghans are disillusioned by the lack of security and the failures of their government; Westerners focus on the resurgence of the Taliban. But the two are inextricably linked. Until basic security and the deep flaws of the government are addressed, the Taliban will continue to chalk up successes. And that's something that neither Afghans nor Westerners can afford...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: In Afghanistan, the Dangers of an Ordinary Day | 10/20/2008 | See Source »

...almost daily. When investors eventually return to reasoned trading, some observers think, the wider picture won't be as dark as many people expect. Touati notes, for example, the rescue plans, rate cuts, drop in oil prices, and fall of the euro are all positive developments for businesses. The downward pressure on stock prices across the board, meanwhile, suggests speculative markets are already factoring in anticipated declines in company results as the economy slow down. In other words, Touati says, a lot of the pain now being felt prepares the gain of an eventual rebound...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Global Markets: Is Volatile the New Normal? | 10/17/2008 | See Source »

...facing a liquidity problem, a solvency problem and a macroeconomic problem. We are in the first phase of a downward spiral. It is, of course, part of the inevitable process of adjustment: returning housing prices to equilibrium levels and getting rid of the excessive leverage (debt) that had kept our phantom economy going...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nobel Laureate: How to Get Out of the Financial Crisis | 10/17/2008 | See Source »

...Rising mortgage rates could also put downward pressure on housing prices, which have already dropped 20% since their peak in July of 2006, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index. The increase in mortgage rates means that the average borrower will pay $1,296 a month in mortgage payment for a $200,000 loan. That's $100 more a month, and $1,200 more a year, than the same loan would have cost them a few weeks ago. For buyers on a budget, that means they can afford less house for the same amount of money. Conversely, sellers would...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Bank Bailout's Side Effect: Rising Mortgage Costs | 10/16/2008 | See Source »

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