Word: dresner
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...team's encouraging analysis was that Yeltsin took it too much to heart. "When he said he was confident that he'd win the election outright in the first round by capturing 50% of the vote, it told us again that you can only lead politicians so far," says Dresner. "The only real threat to victory was a low turnout, and Yeltsin helped depress it by giving voters a reason to take the day off. If they thought Yeltsin's victory was a done deal, as he himself had indicated, why bother voting...
...Americans wrote that "Lebed would be the strongest third-force threat, and we believe paying a significant price for his support would be well worth it." The Americans didn't know that other Yeltsin aides were already reportedly aiding Lebed financially and logistically. "All we did advise," says Dresner, "is that if and when Lebed joined with Yeltsin, he not be given a government position until after the election was decided. Our polling showed that about 2% of voters would shy away from Yeltsin if that happened. On that point, we were ignored." Lebed won a startling...
...listen that Wilson pledged to finish his full term as California's Governor, "and should do just that." Phil Gramm's aides point to inconsistencies in Wilson's record--"opportunistic wafflings," says Gramm strategist Charles Black. Wilson advisers deflect such shots with blithe confidence. "Big deal," says pollster Dick Dresner. "Clinton swore he'd serve his term [as Arkansas' Governor], and no one's record is totally coherent...
...Dole is playing the hardest ball of all. In New York, a state Dresner identifies as ideologically hospitable to Wilson's brand of moderate Republicanism, Dole, to use his own word, has sent Wilson an unmistakable "message.'' Virtually every prominent New York Republican, beginning with Senator Al D'Amato, has announced for Dole ahead of the schedule set several months ago. In some places endorsements are greeted with yawns. But in New York having the G.O.P. machine in your corner can mean you run unopposed. "We've got Soviet-style ballot-access rules," D'Amato complained in 1988, when George...
...common in the core," says Jonathan Dresner, head TF in Historical Study A-14. "I have never heard of anything smaller than...