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...typically have some sort of stimulus coming out of a recession," says Maury Harris, chief U.S. economist at UBS, who has yet to finalize his 2011 economic estimates. "What makes it harder than usual is that the stimulus was so much larger than usual." (See pictures of the recession...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Forecasting: A Foggier View Than Ever | 9/29/2009 | See Source »

...stimulus that makes 2011 a tough year to call. It will also be the year that all the Bush tax cuts expire. And Harris thinks that if a health-care overall gets passed, that could have significant unforeseen effects on the economy as well. S&P's chief economist, David Wyss, says he thinks most economists are tackling the tricky problem of predicting what will happen in 2011 by doing what they always do: predict the economy will do about average. The problem is that what economists have come to believe is average growth for the U.S. economy in recent...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Forecasting: A Foggier View Than Ever | 9/29/2009 | See Source »

...growing. Nearly two-thirds of architects are seeing increased demand for things like outdoor kitchens and fireplaces, according to a survey by the American Institute of Architects (AIA). "There are no longer these hard divides between how folks are living inside and outside," says Kermit Baker, AIA's chief economist and a senior research fellow at Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Downsizing: Today's Home Buyers Are Thinking Small | 9/28/2009 | See Source »

...Webb, chief economist for Atlanta-based Manheim, one of the nation's principal used-car auctions, says "orphan" brands such as Hummer, Saturn and Saab have felt the brunt of adverse consumer reaction to the GM bankruptcy. In addition, Hummer's dealer network is in disarray and used Hummers have lost value, Webb notes...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Could Hummer Be Headed for the Heap? | 9/28/2009 | See Source »

...There was never a good economic rationale for bailing out smaller banks," says Vincent Reinhart, a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a former top Federal Reserve economist. "Extending the program only compounds the mistake." (See 25 people to blame for the financial crisis...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: As Economy Improves, Bank Bailouts Persist | 9/23/2009 | See Source »

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