Word: economisters
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...housing starts - will likely add up to a bleak picture, both in terms of consumer confidence levels and the overall health of the U.S. economy. "The data will show an economy that has lost a lot of steam in September in relation to August," says Joe LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank. "It remains to be seen how bad October will be, but we could really see a bad quarter in terms of Gross Domestic Product performance where we are down at least a couple of percentage points...
...past, consumer spending has comprised as much as two-thirds of the gross national product. "Retail sales is the most important number because it doesn't gauge reactions, but gauges what consumers are doing and it's a good indicator of actual spending," says Michael Englund, chief economist for Action Economics, a bond and currency market consulting firm. "The good news for households is that food and energy prices are falling, although some might see this as a weakness in demand and a sign the economy is slowing." Englund says the drop below August's sales levels are mostly...
...markedly even before the financial crisis exploded. Most economic statistics in the U.K. and around the Continent already look awful, but the turmoil of the last few weeks will likely make the downturn longer and more painful. "You name it, it's falling," says George Buckley, a London-based economist for Deutsche Bank...
...developing world still must cope with the prospect of lower economic growth in the months ahead that could compound problems for countries that are already struggling. Although prices for oil and other commodities have declined recently, they remain at unusually high levels. Justin Lin, chief economist at the World Bank, says his organization is preparing lending programs to help ease the burden of high food and fuel costs for developing countries. "They still need to have the support, in order to protect the poor," Lin says. But it's unclear how widely available such programs will...
That will take time, but for now, most observers air cautious optimism that the government responses have turned the corner on the crisis. According to economist Jacques Mistral, head of economic research for the French Institute on Foreign Relations, the general fear that caused the bearish epidemic pushed markets so low that traders were already looking for a bottom from which to rebound...