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...Almost 500,000 troops were deployed to help restore transportation links and clean up the devastation, the largest military deployment for a natural disaster since devastating floods almost a decade ago. But the economic damage is already done. The Chinese government estimated storm-related losses at about $3 billion. Economists say this figure is bound to rise. "I'd guess in the end [the crisis] will shave a couple tenths of a percentage point off China's GDP growth this year," says Ben Simpfendorfer, a China economist with the Royal Bank of Scotland in Hong Kong. That's not much...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: China On Ice | 1/31/2008 | See Source »

...Exporters will get off relatively lightly, because most are located in warmer coastal provinces near ports, says Stephen Green, senior economist at Standard Chartered Bank in Shanghai. Hardest hit will be producers that rely heavily on electricity such as aluminum and steel makers. But few companies will escape unscathed. Million Freight, a logistics company based in the normally balmy southern city of Shenzhen, was forced to stop taking new shipments on Jan. 28 because existing freight was stacking up. "Nearly all trains coming in and leaving from Shenzhen are delayed by seven or eight hours," says an executive...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: China On Ice | 1/31/2008 | See Source »

...around 72%. "If we take the 5 percentage points out this year, it will be the mother of all U.S. recessions," Roach says. But putting the adjustment off indefinitely isn't a great idea either. "It's just pushing the fundamental problem down the road," says Columbia University economist and Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz. "The problem with the U.S. is excessive consumption...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can the World Stop The Slide? | 1/24/2008 | See Source »

...around 72%. "If we take the 5 percentage points out this year, it will be the mother of all U.S. recessions," Roach says. But putting the adjustment off indefinitely isn't a great idea either. "It's just pushing the fundamental problem down the road," says Columbia University economist and Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz. "The problem with the U.S. is excessive consumption...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can the World Stop the Slide? | 1/23/2008 | See Source »

...move reassured some markets. Hong Kong stocks rebounded by more than 10%. But relief may be temporary, because emerging-markets investors are finally absorbing a grim truth: the U.S. appears to be in real economic trouble. Most economists now believe the country is on the brink of its first recession since 2001, and that it could be a doozy. Forget all the talk about the "decoupling" of emerging economies, the theory that countries like China and India are no longer dependent upon U.S. trade and can continue to power strong global growth even as the U.S. staggers. "There...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Decoupling Debunked | 1/23/2008 | See Source »

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