Word: economisters
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...municipalities, it's been good, but it raises some political-economy questions," says Vincent Reinhart, a resident scholar at the conservative think tank American Enterprise Institute and a former top Federal Reserve economist. "This might encourage even more expansion of government borrowing...
...overtake Japan as the world's second largest economy, is an increasingly important trading partner for countries such as Japan, South Korea and Indonesia. "Asian firms would do better to reorient their exports and production towards meeting the demand of Chinese consumers," says Kit Wei Zheng, a Singapore-based economist with Citigroup. "Firms that refuse to change strategy to cater to Chinese demand will sooner or later find themselves overtaken by competitors and abandoned by investors...
...civilization; Asia is not," says Ravi Menon, Permanent Secretary of Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry. Others question whether Asia's institutions are robust enough for an E.U.-style union. "Are political institutions mature enough in Asia to do what Europe did?" asks Cem Karacadag, a Singapore-based economist with Credit Suisse...
...economists believe that the longer Beijing keeps the stimulus tap open, the greater the danger that the good times in Chinese real estate could turn ugly. Louis Kuijs, a China economist at the World Bank in Beijing, commented in early November that even though Chinese policymakers may not need a "major tightening" right away, "risks of asset price bubbles and misallocation of resources in the face of high liquidity need to be mitigated." Kuijs concluded that "the overall monetary stance will have to be tightened eventually." Beijing's big test is to make sure that doesn't happen too early...
...whether or not they will buy remains an open, and crucial, question. Even though Chinese are becoming wealthier, they are actually saving a greater percentage of that new wealth. Cornell University economist Eswar Prasad figures that China's average urban household saving rate reached 28% of disposable income in 2008 - 11 percentage points higher than in 1995. As a result, the role consumer spending plays in China's economy continues to head in the wrong direction. Private consumption accounted for a mere 35% of GDP in 2008, down from 46% in 2000. China's ratio stands at about half that...