Word: economisters
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...past 30 years," Andersson says. "To have an independent central bank combined with a free market setting long-term interest rates has been a kind of a watchdog against misconduct of policies in Sweden." Some individuals seem to be split against themselves. Jörgen Appelgren, chief economist at Nordea Bank, recites the main arguments in favor: increased growth and trade and lower interest rates. But he admits that he is personally against the euro. He argues that in case of troubled economic times ahead, the European Central Bank (E.C.B.) in Frankfurt will adopt policies best suited for Germany, France...
...widely watched Ifo index of business confidence in Western Germany rose from 89.2 in July to 90.8 in August, its fourth consecutive rise. The Munich-based economic institute surveys 7,000 executives each month about production, orders and inventories. "We've turned the corner," says Gernot Nerb, an economist at Ifo. "We're in the early phase of the upturn...
...Germans are breathing a little easier, if not bubbling with optimism. "The big catastrophe - the fall into deflation - just did not happen," says Holger Schmieding, European economist for Bank of America. "It's more catastrophe avoided than a big upswing ahead." It would be foolish to assume that everything is suddenly fine. After all, the economy was in recession through the first half of 2003, and unemployment rose by 305,000 over the past year, bringing the jobless total to 10.4%. "What kind of upswing is it when you have increasing unemployment?" asks Ullrich Heilemann, vice president of the Rhine...
...what, precisely, would Schwarzenomics look like? Those who have talked to the actor say he has assured them that he adamantly opposes tax hikes. Economist Art Laffer--famous for a cocktail-napkin scribbling that became the basis for supply-side economics--is one of those whose advice the actor has sought. Laffer says Schwarzenegger told him, "I am the tax terminator." Although Laffer, a flat-tax advocate, has not formally joined the team, he may be asked to develop ideas for long-term tax reform. Others being consulted include former presidential candidate Steve Forbes and Michael Boskin, the Stanford University...
...year, which will help spur demand for goods made elsewhere in Asia. Not every region is out of the woods; Hong Kong, for example, still faces record high unemployment and a big deficit, and deflation still lurks in Japan. But "we do have a fundamental recovery," says Andy Xie, economist at Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong. And he says it like he means...