Word: economisters
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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says the U.S. recession is over. But even if a recovery is under way, for millions of people there's little reason to celebrate, according to studies led by Till Marco von Wachter, a Columbia University economist. His research found that the deleterious effects of a downturn on its victims can last decades and, for some, actually prove fatal. Von Wachter talked with TIME recently about his findings...
...slowdown on the world's assembly lines is a normal part of any recession. As demand shrinks, so must production. But now that the recession is easing, there is considerable debate among economists about whether manufacturers will be rehiring workers and restarting assembly lines anytime soon. Despite aggressive downsizing by industries like auto manufacturing over the past 18 months, there are fears that the world remains stuck with so much excess production capacity that any recovery will be anemic, plagued by deflationary pressures, high unemployment and ailing bank-loan portfolios. "Unless we deal with the excess capacity situation, we will...
...Minister, Abhisit Vejjajiva, says he dreamed of leading his Southeast Asian nation ever since he was a little boy, but he still seems more comfortable roaming the corridors of international diplomacy than engaging in the rough-and-tumble politics of his homeland. Just days ago, the 45-year-old economist headed to New York City to hobnob with world leaders at the U.N. General Assembly. In his inaugural speech to the international body on Sept. 26, Abhisit is expected to reference everything from sustainable development and foreign-investment incentives to the wisdom of Alfred Lord Tennyson. No doubt he will...
...Although the rupiah could suddenly weaken against the dollar and shave off a significant chunk of a trader's profit, "If your carrying spread is wide enough, you'll comfortably take the currency risk," says Johanna Chua, chief economist with Citigroup in Asia. In fact, Chua says, the dollar carry trade has become so widespread among traders in Asia it has even triggered buying of more exotic and illiquid currencies like the Sri Lankan rupee. "That's the ultimate carry trade," Chua says...
...make sure there's economic growth," said Hans-Peter Keitel, the President of the Federation of German Industries (BDI). That enthusiasm will disappear quickly should Merkel shy away from change. "I hope the new government will be good for business as Germany needs structural reforms," Volker Treier, the chief economist of the Association of German Chambers of Industry and Commerce told TIME. "We need a more flexible labor market, reforms of the social security system and urgent reforms of corporate tax." If Merkel decides to push through reforms, it's bound to put her on a collision course with opposition...