Word: economisters
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...China's stimulus plans "could have an enormous difference in whether or not people want to buy cars," says Ben Simpfendorfer, chief China economist for the Royal Bank of Scotland. "What's unusual about this cycle is that China faces the same problems as everywhere else in the world. The big question is how to spur consumer spending. Strong auto sales will help China, just like they'll help America or Europe...
...blue chip firms are the ones that make headlines. New research suggests that in times of recession, large employers disproportionately lose workers, while small companies, as a group, fare better. "It's definitely the case that large firms are downsizing much faster in recessions," says Giuseppe Moscarini, an economist at Yale University who conducted the research with Fabien Postel-Vinay of the University of Bristol...
Some communities are not comfortable with children browsing foreign advertising, entertainment, and general worldviews whenever they like. There’s a legitimate fear the OLPC pushes flashy consumerism and invasive technology on peoples. Mohammed Diop, a Malinese economist, has attacked the project as an attempt to exploit poor nations by making them pay for millions of impractical machines. To many who are used to a history of false promises and downright lies, allowing a U.S. company to hold a financial stake in the education of their children is anathema...
...everyone is so convinced. The current improvement in data "is not big enough to warrant optimism" that a recovery is around the corner, says Eric Fishwick, head of economic research at brokerage CLSA in Hong Kong, who has maintained his 5.5% growth estimate for 2009. Jun Ma, an economist at Deutsche Bank, argues that China will experience a "double-dip" or "W-shaped" recovery. While the economy may show signs of life in the near term, he believes the current upturn will fizzle and the economy won't hit a final bottom until the first half...
...Economist Jim Walker of Asianomics, an independent research firm in Hong Kong, argues that what appear to be signs of recovery in China are in fact indications that the country might be headed for long-term problems. Walker believes that Chinese policymakers aren't allowing the economy's excessive and unnecessary industrial capacity to die off naturally, keeping alive sick companies that could drag down the economy in the future. "By throwing money into the economy ... Beijing is running the risk of turning a nasty cyclical downturn into a structural problem that will take years to unwind," Walker writes. "Beijing...