Word: economists
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...Instead, the big concerted action of Oct. 8 passed with barely a shrug from Wall Street. Stock markets worldwide continued to roil, and banks everywhere remained in the firing line. "Confidence has completely crashed, and it will take a while to rebuild it," says Craig Wright, chief economist at the Royal Bank of Canada, who is nonetheless hopeful that these and other measures will eventually start to work. "But it's hard to hear positives in a thunderstorm of gloom...
...Masaaki Kanno, chief economist at JPMorgan Securities in Japan, summed up the frantic day in Asia. "Investor sentiment is in panic," Kanno said over the prospect of the spreading financial crisis dragging the global economy into a severe recession. The latest economic indicators are fueling this loss of confidence. For example, Japan's corporate bankruptcies jumped 34% in September, the largest increase since 2000, according to Tokyo Shoko Research...
...Eswar Prasad, a Cornell economist, and his coauthors have found that many countries have “decoupled” from the global economy in the past 20 years. Their prosperity now depends much more on the situation of countries like them, not on the global market as a whole. Business cycles in the last two decades tended to have an impact on groups of countries but not on the entire world...
...could hurt export-driven Asian economies more than originally thought. Turmoil in Europe as governments scramble to cobble together their own bailout packages has convinced Asia that the contagion will spread far from Wall Street. "We felt pretty good that our economies are stronger," says Song Seng Wun, an economist at CIMB-GK Research in Singapore. "Problems seemed to be other people's problems." But recent events "have made us realize that we aren't entirely safe. It looks like the problem might be closer to home...
...shock is what is needed to restructure the banking rules in Europe, one may be underway. Economists are warning that the Continent is facing its biggest crisis since the Depression - when Europeans also first mistakenly thought the problem would remain confined to the U.S. One leading German politician, Interior Minister Wolfgang Schauble, even raised the specter of the kind of longer term economic dislocation that led to the rise of Adolf Hitler. "Four months ago," says economist Schmidt, "I might have said that it may not get worse. But we have not seen anything like this before. I cannot...