Word: egypt
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Saddam hussein kicked off the year with a defiant military parade in Baghdad, startling Western military experts with a display of new missiles and refurbished tanks. He sent his deputies to Cairo and Damascus, where they upgraded Iraq's political ties and signed free-trade agreements with Egypt and Syria, key U.S. allies in the Gulf War against Saddam a decade ago. Then came last week's Arab Summit...
...summit showed the limits of Saddam's comeback. What mattered was not the readiness to lift sanctions, but the continuing insistence that Saddam abide by U.N. resolutions designed to curb his military ambitions. Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak and Jordan's King Abdullah II were the most willing to loosen the economic noose, but they insisted Saddam accept his U.N. obligations and seemed stunned by his obstinacy. "Iraq," said influential Egyptian columnist Ibrahim Nafie, "does not want to help itself...
...anger and betrayal - although perhaps you have to measure that against the way they were treated by the Clinton administration. There's now a feeling that the U.S. administration is abandoning the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, trying to stay away from it. They see the Bush administration betting on Egypt and Jordan to pressure the PA to denounce terror and resume security coordination with Israel. But according to my source, Washington is being too optimistic...
...Egypt tried to pressure Arafat to make concessions, that would endanger Egypt's position in the Arab and Islamic world. Egypt is not willing to take that risk, particularly given its internal equation. Egypt has to consider not only pressure from the U.S. and Israel, but also internal pressure from their rising Islamic opposition. And the internal political dynamic is very important in shaping Egyptian policy on Palestinians and other Arab issues. So the Americans are not reading the internal situation in the Arab world vis-à-vis their ability to persuade Arafat. Still, Arafat feels isolated now, and Arafat...
...Sharon - and against Yasser Arafat - by removing U.S. pressure to seek a long-term political solution. But it may not always be that way, particularly if the pressure begins to grow on Arab regimes for more forceful expressions of solidarity with the Palestinians. And the domestic political situation in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan, as well as the tradition of deflecting domestic political anger in Israel's direction, may make that inevitable...