Word: embargoing
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Blix has the right to refer the dispute to the U.N. Security Council, which can punish a nuclear miscreant with sanctions that can range from a reprimand to an embargo, and ultimately to war. Three weeks ago, he told Washington he would begin the process this week if the North didn't start behaving. But the West decided to keep negotiating instead. "We're not talking in terms of a deadline," says an IAEA spokesman. Reason: fear of driving Pyongyang into a corner from which it would fight its way out. The North Koreans have threatened to resume plutonium reprocessing...
Moreover, if an oil or trade embargo is imposed, U.S. analysts fear a violent response. Also, Pyongyang diplomats have said privately that any attack on their nuclear facilities would trigger an invasion of the South. None of these risks of escalation are worth taking yet, since Western intelligence analysts are fairly sure that the North has only small amounts of plutonium and no operational bomb. Further, says a State Department official, "none of our main interlocutors on this issue -- South Korea, Russia, Japan, China -- think negotiations have been exhausted...
Sanctions have hurt, but may not be enough. Though impoverished Haitians suffered deprivation under an on-again, off-again embargo, the military bosses prospered from rising prices and trade in smuggled goods. When Cedras reneged on his resignation deal, the U.N. slapped new sanctions on oil and arms shipments, and U.S. and allied warships encircled the island. By week's end almost all gas stations in the capital had shut down. But by most estimates, a three-month supply of oil remains in Haiti, and the army has ordered Aristide's newly appointed Prime Minister Robert Malval to see that...
While the latest embargo may eventually push Cedras toward another negotiation, it is not likely to destroy the power of Haiti's military. So how is the U.S. to fulfill its pledge not just to restore Aristide to office but to ensure the growth of lasting democracy? There are those who argue that the only way is by sending in the U.S. Marines...
With an economic embargo imposed by the U.N. firmly in place and U.S. warships blockading the island, Washington offered the military rulers of Haiti terms for lifting sanctions. Among the demands are the retirement of army commander Lieut. General Raoul Cedras, an end to human-rights abuses and the disarming of the "attaches," a ganglike auxiliary police force that has terrorized citizens. At week's end a U.S. Coast Guard cutter fired warning shots at a merchant ship that refused to change course...