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...poll of likely voters last week, Bush pulled in 46% vs. Kerry's 44% in a three-way race with Ralph Nader (5%). The poll showed a shift from early August, when Kerry had a 5-point lead, though in both cases the difference was within the margin of error. Bush may be showing movement, but more registered voters still say it's time for someone else to be President (49%) than believe Bush deserves to be re-elected (46%)--numbers sure to give G.O.P. stalwarts heartburn. It's even worse among swing voters, only a third of whom...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Measure of a Tight Race | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

Election punters and pollsters are both trying to figure out how the nation will vote. But when punters make that call, says Leigh, "they're putting their money where their mouth is." Pollsters must rely on what voters tell them. That can lead to error, says Leigh, because "you're sampling only a fraction of the population" and "people might say anything just to get rid of the interviewer." Overall poll results - percentages of the total vote - may not correspond to numbers of seats won. And in marginal seats, on which many elections turn, the margin of error can exceed...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: For a Winner, Follow the Money | 8/31/2004 | See Source »

...really earn the silver? The evening's penultimate gymnast, South Korea's Yang Tae Young, could have put the gold out of reach. But while gripping the bar, Yang turned one hand the wrong waya "mixed grip"--an error that opened the door. Hamm swung through it, whirling through the routine of his life, soaring high off the bar three times before nailing the dismount. Hamm's winning margin, .012 points led South Korea to file a protest, and the International Gymnastics Federation admitted that a scoring mistake probably cost Yang the gold. But unless the Court of Arbitration...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Gymnastics: The Comeback Kids | 8/30/2004 | See Source »

...their psyche to leave much room for error, but despite the doomsayers, the Athenians delivered the Olympic Games when they said they would, and with some style. The volunteers, visible even in the city's outer suburbs in their bright uniforms, make their way to the venues helping everyone in their path, whether they need it or not. They are as willing and as charming as their counterparts in Sydney were, and the locals, even those who can't afford the high ticket prices, are welcoming...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Inside the Aussie Pool Party | 8/25/2004 | See Source »

...never feel completely dry. But I haven't been wet like this. Maybe the siren-like chattering of the pure waters distracts us - in any case, we're careless on this rapid, too slow and uncoordinated in our approach, and too late to change course when we realize our error. The current of a mighty river doesn't indulge mistakes, which is why I find myself gripping onto the raft as it goes over the rapid sideways and comes to rest at a curious angle on a log. As cold water pours over my shoulders into the boat, I keep...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Raft With a View | 8/22/2004 | See Source »

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