Word: exitement
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...those two states. And we could know very early. We won't be able to say with finality that it's done until a certain number of races have been tabulated. Of course when you're talking about House races, you can't do all that much from exit polls. You can do something, but not all that much. So you're going to need some kind of indications from the raw vote itself...
...HUME: If it's a big Democratic night, the obvious indication that we have it that it's all about the war. We will obviously scan the exit polling to see if there are other factors in the race that we don't immediately see, as sometimes there turn out to be, and that will be an interesting element of the whole evening. If the Republicans succeed in holding this back - either in one house or, less probably, in both, which is still possible - then it'll be a very interesting night of soul-searching about how this could possibly...
...TIME: Is there something different you're doing with exit polls this year...
...stark drop-off in support among what is usually a core constituency: white evangelical Christians. According to TIME's poll, only 54% of people in this group favor Republican candidates, with 5% undecided. Thirty-eight percent of white evangelicals polled say they'll support Democrats. In 2004, exit polls indicated that 78% of this constituency voted for Bush. While the G.O.P. won out in the poll by seven points (42-35) as the party perceived as best equipped to protect moral values, a matter especially important to this group, the party's standing among evangelicals may have been hurt...
...third factor running against the G.O.P. is an improvement in men's attitudes towards the Democrats. Males provided much of the Bush victory margin in 2004: the President took 55% of the male vote while John Kerry won 44%, according to exit polls. For the 2006 midterms, the TIME poll suggests men are almost evenly split, with 43% supporting Republican candidates and 47% Democrats. Women in the TIME poll support Democratic candidates by a lopsided 59% to 33% for Republicans. In 2004, Kerry had just a three-point edge among females...