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...report obtained by the New York Times on Friday, officials with the National Election Pool (NEP)—the group in charge of administering the exit polls—attributed the inaccurate predictions to factors outside of their control. The NEP officials said that in some cases, pollsters were unable to get close enough to talk to voters, and that in several precincts, Democrats were more willing to talk to surveyors than Republicans, resulting in numbers that favored a Kerry...

Author: By Javier C. Hernandez, CONTRIBUTING WRITER | Title: Experts Explain Problem With Exit Polls | 11/8/2004 | See Source »

That’s because exit polls—data taken from interviews with voters as they left the voting booths—erroneously calculated that Kerry would sweep up enough electoral votes to beat President Bush and win the presidency...

Author: By Javier C. Hernandez, CONTRIBUTING WRITER | Title: Experts Explain Problem With Exit Polls | 11/8/2004 | See Source »

...phenomenon of overreaction,” said William Schneider, a CNN senior political analyst who spent election night interpreting exit poll numbers. “Yes, there were some problems, but nothing particularly unusual...

Author: By Javier C. Hernandez, CONTRIBUTING WRITER | Title: Experts Explain Problem With Exit Polls | 11/8/2004 | See Source »

Schneider, who was an associate professor of government at Harvard from 1972 to 1979, said that the significance of exit polls was overplayed...

Author: By Javier C. Hernandez, CONTRIBUTING WRITER | Title: Experts Explain Problem With Exit Polls | 11/8/2004 | See Source »

...said that exit polls, as a predictor, represent only a portion of the electorate and their results do not necessarily reflect the preferences of an entire state...

Author: By Javier C. Hernandez, CONTRIBUTING WRITER | Title: Experts Explain Problem With Exit Polls | 11/8/2004 | See Source »

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