Word: exportability
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...axed 25,700 jobs in June as the automotive industry extended its downward spiral - and the Canadian loonie has climbed to nearly US$0.90 from a low of US$0.78 earlier in the year. The hollowing-out of manufacturing in Ontario, combined with a strong currency, means Canada's export sector is taking a beating not seen in decades, with no sign of relief on the horizon...
...Things are really bad here in Canada," says Jayson Myers, president of Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters, the country's largest trade and industry association. "Our manufacturing and export performance is the worst it's been since the end of World War II." He points to a 30% reduction in manufacturing orders over a six-month period ending in March 2009 and a loss of 221,000 manufacturing jobs in the past 12 months as evidence of the deepening crisis...
...plus side, there was some improvement in commodity prices in May - but it was more than offset by an appreciating currency and lower export volumes, which crushed trade receipts. As a result, second-quarter GDP is expected to contract 3.1% on an annualized basis, according to the Toronto-based investment dealer CIBC World Markets. "I wouldn't be surprised if June was as bad as May," says CIBC economist Krishen Rangasamy, referring to Canada's trade deficit. He expects the country's balance of trade to begin improving in the fourth quarter, with annualized GDP growth...
...That acceleration - GPD growth was just 6.1% in the first quarter - is unmistakably good news for China's major trading partners, particularly those countries in Asia that export raw materials to China's manufacturers. Imports of semifinished industrial metals in the quarter soared by more than 35%, as China's stimulus-driven infrastructure build-out gathered steam. Overall fixed-asset investment picked up 33.5% year over year, a pace that recalled the country's glory years of double-digit economic expansion. (See pictures of life on the fringes of the People's Republic...
...impact on the American economy, so the U.S. government should proceed at its own risk and peril," says the Swiss-American Chamber of Commerce's Naville, who points out that both countries have "a lot at stake" in each other's economies. Switzerland is the U.S.'s 15th largest export market and, with almost $149 billion spent in 2008, its fourth largest recipient in terms of direct investment. Switzerland, for its part, invested nearly $195 billion in the U.S. last year. (See the top 10 tax dodgers...