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...Such celebration may be premature. As 2008 came to an end, every economy in the region had either slowed sharply or tumbled into outright recession. Far from having the autonomous capacity to decouple from weakness elsewhere in the world, export-led developing Asia had become even more tightly tethered to foreign markets than was the case a decade earlier. The export share of panregional gross domestic product (GDP) hit a record 47% in 2007, fully 10 percentage points higher than the portion in the late 1990s. With approximately 50% of those exports earmarked for the rich countries of the developed...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Evolution of Asia | 10/12/2009 | See Source »

...warning of the precarious state of the Chinese economy, Wen was expressing concerns about the nation's very risky macro bet. With nearly 80% of its GDP going to exports and fixed investment, China had become overly reliant on cross-border trade and on the investments required to support the logistics and capacity of its increasingly powerful export machine. Not only has China slowed dramatically - with export growth turning sharply negative in late 2008 and industrial output growth slipping into the low single digits - but the rest of an increasingly China-centric Asian economy has been quick to follow...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Evolution of Asia | 10/12/2009 | See Source »

...China's export dependency went far beyond the unbalanced structure of its real economy. Its financial and currency policies were also aimed at deriving maximum support from external demand. A closed capital account and an undervalued renminbi (RMB) were icing on the cake for China's powerful strain of export-led growth. Moreover, to the extent that its currency-management objectives required ongoing recycling of a massive reservoir of foreign-exchange reserves into U.S. dollar - based assets, such capital inflows helped keep longer-term U.S. interest rates at exceptionally low levels. In effect, China's implicit interest-rate subsidy ended...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Evolution of Asia | 10/12/2009 | See Source »

...just the experience of tyranny but in particular the woman's experience of tyranny that interests Müller. At the beginning of The Appointment a young Romanian woman who works in a factory is arrested by the secret police. The factory makes suits for export to Italy, and she has been caught slipping notes into the linings that say "Marry me," with her name and address...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: German Writer Herta Müller: Another Nobel Surprise | 10/8/2009 | See Source »

...Iran 20,000 barrels of gasoline a day, backs the country's claim that it's enriching uranium only for peaceful purposes. But if the international community decides Iran is making an atomic bomb - something IAEA inspections may determine later this month - it would complicate any Venezuelan plans to export uranium to the country, since it would be widely viewed as aiding and abetting a rogue nuclear-weapons program. "In that event, the world is watching whether Venezuela seems poised to cross any international legal boundaries," says Johanna Mendelson Forman, a senior associate for the Americas at the Center...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Chávez to Iran: How About Some Uranium? | 10/8/2009 | See Source »

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