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...formula that has predicted the popular vote winner in 14 of the last 15 elections; it missed in 1968 but got the razor-thin margin right. His barometer uses three criteria: the approval rating of the incumbent President, the economic growth rate and the "time-for-a-change" factor of whether the incumbent's party has controlled the White House for two terms. McCain's score is the worst since Jimmy Carter's in 1980. "History suggests that McCain is toast," Clive Crook wrote in the Financial Times...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Never Underestimate McCain, But ... | 7/22/2008 | See Source »

...image is complete; the name itself takes on magic and exudes the perfume of the theater. With homegrown stars like Cynthia Gregory and Gelsey Kirkland, Americans have long since stopped regarding ballerinas as imports. But this year the headlines have been captured by three young foreigners. A major factor in American Ballet Theatre's most successful season in years is Italy's Alessandra Ferri, 23, an ethereal, hugely gifted dramatic dancer. Leningrad's Kirov Ballet, which has just finished its first North American tour in 22 years, is full of talent, but the great ovations have gone to Altynai Asylmuratova...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: THREE WHO CAPTURE THE MAGIC New ballerinas from Italy, Russia and France are revelations | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

...Even without its midnight showings, The Dark Knight will play on more screens at more hours than almost any film to date, and box-office returns are projected to be among the biggest of the year. One reason is the Heath Ledger factor. "It's been a very long time since there's been a posthumous performance of an actor that died in an untimely way that promised to be so big and intense and good," says author Mark Harris. "It's a movie with fanboy appeal, but it's also, in an odd way, playing out as a memorial...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Dark Knight: Lines, but Not for Tickets | 7/17/2008 | See Source »

...same virus. Approximately 1 in 3 chicken-pox veterans suffers a reactivation of the bug as an adult, as was the case with my patient in Michigan. Whether the virus, which can lie dormant for decades, resurfaces appears to depend on a lot of things: Age is a risk factor, since most cases occur in people 60 or older. Stress and trauma have been implicated too. So has a weakened immune system - which makes sense. Your body has to work to keep a virus shackled for so long. The University of Texas study also made a persuasive case...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Rash Redux | 7/17/2008 | See Source »

...Bachelot says, a "classic element of student parties that encourages binge-drinking." All that underage chugging, Bachelot says, explains the 50% increase in the number of 15-to-24-year-olds hospitalized for excessive alcohol consumption between 2004 and 2007. It's also why alcohol is now the leading factor in deaths among young French people...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: French Combat Youth Binge-Drinking | 7/17/2008 | See Source »

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