Word: fallenness
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...bubbles always do - it burst. The S&P Case-Shiller index of house prices in 20 cities has been falling since February 2007. And the decline is accelerating. In June prices were down 16% compared with a year earlier. In some cities - like Phoenix and Miami - they have fallen by as much as a third from their peaks. The U.S. real estate market hasn't faced anything like this since the Depression. And the pain is not over. Credit Suisse predicts that 13% of U.S. homeowners with mortgages could end up losing their homes...
...Banks and other financial institutions are in an even worse position: their debts are accumulating even faster. By 2007 the financial sector's debt was equivalent to 116% of GDP, compared with a mere 21% in 1980. And the assets the banks loaded up on have fallen even further in value than the average home - by as much as 55% in the case of BBB-rated mortgage-backed securities...
...Britain's growth will continue into its 59th quarter and then into its 60th and 61st quarter and beyond ... Inflation has fallen from 3% to 2.8%, and will fall further this year to 2% ... Looking ahead to 2008 and 2009, inflation will also be on target. And we will never return to the old boom and bust." Thus Gordon Brown, as Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer, in his Budget statement only last year. No Chancellor since the war has quite so disastrously misread the economic situation, or so fundamentally misunderstood the inescapable nature of market economies - namely, that...
...hard to find anecdotes of business booming at credit unions and community banks, which rely on deposits rather than financing in the capital markets. But even there's nuance even there. The amount you can expect from a top-yielding certificate of deposit has fallen from about 5.5% to 4.25% over the past year, according to Bankrate.com. On the surface that seems to indicate banks aren't that worried - if they really needed cash, wouldn't they up their rates to attract more money? Well, over the same period of time, the federal funds rate has been cut from...
...best way to build cash is by cutting spending. You might also temporarily divert any monthly investment contributions or pare any assets where you may be overconcentrated. But restart your monthly contributions promptly - and avoid selling stocks simply because they have fallen. As a broad asset class, stocks will recover, though not all individual shares (like those of some beleaguered financial companies) will rebound...