Word: fatah
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...There is no reason to believe the Palestinians plan to dump their elected president any time soon, and the most significant challenge to Arafat's leadership in Palestinian ranks comes from the Islamist radicals of Hamas and the rank-and-file of his own nationalist Fatah movement, which increasingly shares the Islamists' belief in the path of confrontation. Hence Sharon's recent remarks to an Israeli interviewer on his Gaza plan: "The Palestinians understand that this plan is, to a great extent, the end of their dreams, a very heavy blow to them," which, he said would "force them...
...collapsed in the course of the intifada, and its institutional purpose - the completion of Oslo - appears to have outlived itself. Sharon has no intention of negotiating a settlement with the PA leadership. The PA's decline has been accompanied by the growing preeminence of Hamas and likeminded elements in Fatah, and it is that alliance that looks most likely to fill the political vacuum in Gaza once the Israelis withdraw. It is the prospect of the green and white banners of Hamas being hoisted over the vacated settlements of Gaza that has the hawkish faction of Sharon's own Likud...
...Palestinian population as well. Slates of Islamic candidates dominated by Hamas have taken control of the student councils at many universities across the territories. At Islamic University in Gaza City, the Hamas-led list took 83% of seats in a vote held a few months ago. Arafat's Fatah Party withdrew at the last minute rather than experience humiliating defeat. I asked a law student, Ali Hejjy, 19, why Hamas was so popular. Because, he answered, "they run the university justly." By that he meant that unqualified sons of officials were not given places, students were allowed to disagree with...
...lived. Army sources say they arrested five men connected with the attack. But the political fallout of the prisoner swap could keep Israel's military busy in the weeks ahead. The bus attack was carried out by a member of the Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, a subgroup of Arafat's Fatah. Fatah militiamen told TIME they felt pressure to act against Israel to show the Palestinian public they were just as effective in their struggle against Israel as Hizballah...
...compromise on the election issue is still possible. But privately, U.S. officials predict Washington will blink first. With time running out to get a handover started in Baghdad, a State Department source says, "they're going to realize the game's up and cave." --By Massimo Calabresi and Hassan Fatah...