Word: feds
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...food except the rice, and apparently Keith is cooking it all next week. By the time Colby, who seems rather full of beans despite having apparently left his Reward Challenge Buffet in little piles all along the way home, receives the vengeance due the well-muscled and well-fed, CBS may well have a very serious Reality TV question to answer...
...historical scale, the trend is now officially an upward one. Here's how the market logic goes: short trading week, low volume, no economic reports (save inflation on Thursday, but that's not a real headliner these days) - a perfect time for the Fed to phone in a rate cut without appearing too responsive...
...sources of the markets' frustration of late - that they're still mostly alone in their despair. Bad earnings reports, and investor despondency over same, have been coming too long to scare Greenspan now; what he really fears is fear itself, and until those consumers start closing their wallets, the Fed likely won't step...
...Street's flicker of hope has a couple of ways to get doused, starting with those same earnings reports that may or may not follow Amazon's cheery lead. Thursday's inflation number, if it's way, way up, could put those Fed rumors to bed with a thud. Then there's the fact of the good mood itself - a few rallies between now and the week's end could make the mood on Good Friday too good...
...With a three-day weekend to think about it, the big money could wind up looking at four thin-but-happy rallies and decide that emergency Fed intervention really is a fantasy. Putting everybody back in a bad mood for Easter Monday...