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In the previous three years, she had watched the toads increase in number with the waxing of the moon. But last year was different. The moon grew from crescent to gibbous, and suddenly the toads were gone. "It went from there being 90 to 100 toads down to six, and...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Toads Predict Earthquakes? | 4/1/2010 | See Source »

It was one of the strokes of luck from which science is made. The seismic shift continued to set off aftershocks almost every day, but Grant stayed to count her toads. When a full moon rose three days after the quake, a few toads risked a return. But then their...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Toads Predict Earthquakes? | 4/1/2010 | See Source »

There are many anecdotal accounts of animals acting strangely before tremors, but there's little hard science. "This is the first study that monitors unusual behavior in animals for a significant period before and after a major earthquake," Grant says. In the 1st century, the Greek historian Diodorus recounted how...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Toads Predict Earthquakes? | 4/1/2010 | See Source »

There was a brief boom of research into whether animals could be used to predict earthquakes in the 1970s, when a few scientists documented changes in the behavior of birds, mice and domestic animals immediately before the earth's beginning to shake. But the idea never gained much traction. The...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Toads Predict Earthquakes? | 4/1/2010 | See Source »

Nothing could be further from the truth. Assertive Angie is no Kaiser Bill. Nor is fiscal probity anti-European - quite the contrary. Article 125 of the Lisbon Treaty, Europe's quasi-constitution, forbids bailouts for the reckless. Moreover, in the last few months the euro has lost more than 10...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Angela Merkel: German Rules | 4/1/2010 | See Source »

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