Word: fischhoff
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...impossible for us to become sharper risk handicappers. For one thing, we can take the time to learn more about the real odds. Baruch Fischhoff, professor of social and decision sciences at Carnegie Mellon University, recently asked a panel of 20 communications and finance experts what they thought the likelihood of human-to-human transmission of avian flu would be in the next three years. They put the figure at 60%. He then asked a panel of 20 medical experts the same question. Their answer: 10%. "There's reason to be critical of experts," Fischhoff says, "but not to replace...
...Editorial Editors: John L. Larew '91 Juliette N. Kayyem '91 Feature Editor: Eric S. Solowey '91 Sports Editors: Gary R. Shenk '92 Julio R. Varela '90 Photo Editors: Liane M. Clamen '91 Bryan S. Geon '92 David A. Herne '93 Business Editor: Raymond Nomizu '91 Copy Editor: Maya E. Fischhoff...
...Barnes '93 Seth A. Gitell '91 Matthew M. Hoffman '91 Eric S. Solowey '91 Feature Editor: Joseph R. Palmore '91 Editorial Editor: Joshua M. Sharfstein '91 Sports Editor: Michael D. Stankiewicz '90-91 Photography Editor: Leor S. Bachar '91 Business Editor: Timothy B. Paydos '92 Copy Editor: Maya E. Fischhoff...
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