Word: forecasting
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...over the course of your entire life) than you do of being harmed by this or that contaminant. If you live near an airport, however, the risk of getting beaned is about 1 in 10,000. Two very different probabilities are being conflated into one flawed forecast. "My favorite is the one that says you stand a greater risk from dying while skydiving than you do from some pesticide," says Susan Egan Keane of the Natural Resources Defense Council. "Well, I don't skydive, so my risk is zero...
...weekend’s football game is not the only bizarre phenomenon storming Cambridge this fall. Saturday’s loss, which broke Harvard’s five-year winning streak, also set the record for the warmest Game day in at least half a decade, according to national forecast provider AccuWeather. According to meteorologist John M. Pachelco from national weather source AccuWeather, the average daytime temperature in November has been 4.5 degrees above normal—defined as the average temperature from 1970 to 2000. “The fall in Cambridge hasn’t been warmer...
...play-by-play. The color commentary will be shaded crimson and blue—former Harvard tackle Danny M. Jiggetts ’76, later a Chicago Bear, and former Eli quarterback Brian J. Dowling, a onetime Green Bay Packer, will join Steiner, according to the channel. Despite forecasts of heavy rain tomorrow, Harvard officials said it is highly unlikely that Saturday’s tailgate will be cancelled. “A little rain isn’t going to stop us from getting out on that field,” said Mather House Committee Co-Chair Andrew...
...sell your big home for $600,000 and immediately buy a condo for $300,000, and housing prices drop 10% over the next 12 months, as some economists forecast. In the condo, you would lose just $30,000 on paper; in the house, you would lose $60,000. The condo savings, however, don't include expenses, which you incur whenever you move...
Heady projections about the future of China's travel industry help explain this building frenzy. Already the world's fourth most popular tourist destination, the country is expected to move into second position within a decade, according to the World Tourism Association. By 2020, China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world's most visited country, pulling in some 130 million travelers a year. China's burgeoning domestic tourism market is also critical in the calculations of hotel companies. By 2010, it's anticipated that the number of homegrown tourists will soar from 1.2 billion to about...