Word: forecasts
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Dates: during 1950-1959
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This week, midway through a six-week survey syndicated daily in 83 newspapers, Lubell offered an interim forecast based on his findings among what he calls the key voters-those who supported Harry Truman in 1948 and switched to Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. He estimated that "roughly half" of these voters would go for Eisenhower again. "If the proportion holds until Election Day," he said, "it would give the President around 52% of the popular vote, even if all the voters who now say they are 'undecided' were to swing to Adlai Stevenson...
...Forecast. By comparison, the Nixon and Stevenson campaign tours are models of sober efficiency. The pampered newsmen with Stevenson need not even bother to register at their hotel stopovers; their keys are handed to them as they enter. Buses and police escorts are prompt; breakfast is invariably hot as the plane takes off each morning, and the Stevenson press staff, headed by Clayton Fritchey, gets all the speeches out in advance. But newsmen with Stevenson travel in a separate plane, get less access to the candidate than those with Nixon and Kefauver...
...rush, the reporters manage to pour out a steady flow of copy: 80,000 words a day from Stevenson, 40,000 from Nixon, 15,000 from Kefauver. Privately, though 27 felt uncertain about the election's outcome, 36 out of the 44 who ventured a forecast picked the candidate who has yet to hit the campaign trail: President Eisenhower...
Totalitarianism Unruffled. Against this background of unruffled totalitarianism, Premier Chou Enlai, the No. 3 Red, calmly forecast that in six years Red China would rank fifth or sixth among industrial powers. Chou based his prediction on the first five-year plan (1953-57) targets, which, he said, had already been exceeded. Despite flood and droughts, grain production for the current period would total about 1.1 billion tons. As a consequence, said Chou, a 35% increase in agricultural production will be the goal of the second five-year plan, beginning next year. This, said he, should make possible a 100% increase...
...good news at home rather than bad news from abroad, the Dow-Jones industrials jumped 5.62 points in the first trading session after Labor Day, one of the biggest gains in months. Wall Streeters took the upswing as a bright omen: the market after Labor Day has often forecast the trend for months to come; e.g., the wartime bull market ended in the week after Labor Day in 1946, the Eisenhower bull market started in late September 1953. The average closed the week at 506.76 v. 502.04 the week before...