Word: forecasts
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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...Carter's sweeping arms-limitation proposals, carried to Moscow by Secretary of State Cyrus Vance (the State Department itself should have foreseen this). Nor did the agency predict the political demise last month of Soviet President Nikolai Podgorny. Carter was annoyed at the CIA's failure to forecast the Likud coalition's upset victory in last month's Israeli election. In China, the CIA seemed surprised by the rise of Chairman Hua Kuo-feng, the vilification of Madame Mao and the rehabilitation of Vice Premier Teng Hsiao-p'ing. "The wide-scope stuff tends...
Pangs of Plenty. The biggest headache for farmers is the growing glut of wheat. Last week the Agriculture Department forecast that despite last winter's drought and destructive winds, this year's winter wheat crop would come to 1.53 billion bu., only about 3% less than last year's mammoth harvest. The total crop, including spring wheat (harvested in the fall), is expected to be about 2 billion bu. That would be slightly less than the record 2.15 billion bu. crop in 1976-but still more than U.S. and foreign buyers combined are likely...
...only one: Paul Erdman. His third novel, The Crash of '79, is in its 25th week on the bestseller lists, has been bought by Paramount for a movie, and is diverting not only ordinary readers but also corporate executives and government officials, who assure each other that its forecast of doom will not come true. Certainly not. Of course...
Dick Young, gifted, didactic and the senior baseball writer in Manhattan, forecast the imminent firing of Billy Martin, the Yankee manager. "Billy had the world by the fine hair, and he has loused it up," Young wrote with consistent, if unappealing imagery...
Disaster Areas. Last week the Salt Lake City River Forecast Center reported that the water-supply outlook for Nevada, Arizona, Utah, eastern Colorado, New Mexico and Wyoming is "gloomy to grim." In the Columbia River Basin of the Pacific Northwest the outlook is "bleak and becoming bleaker." In parched California the National Weather Service and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration noted that the drought, "nearly two years old, is expected to reduce river levels this summer to the lowest ever recorded." Further, in the Great Plains area of eastern Montana, eastern Wyoming, the Dakotas and Nebraska, the water supply...