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...hinge on what you mean by best and what you mean by long-run. The investment part actually remains pretty cut and dried. Over the past two centuries, stocks have done dramatically better for investors than have bonds or any other asset class. And while, to parrot the mutual-fund prospectuses, past performance is no guarantee of future results, there are sensible economic arguments why stocks should continue to perform best in the future...
...Smith published the results as a book called Common Stocks as Long Term Investments. It was a sensation. Smith--a businessman of no great distinction up to that point--launched a mutual-fund company on the strength of his sudden fame and got an invite from John Maynard Keynes to join the Royal Economic Society. His argument was that stocks would continue to beat bonds because they a) were less vulnerable to having their value eaten away by inflation and b) allowed investors to share in the growth of the U.S. economy in a way that bonds and other assets...
...main difference between the two experts really comes down to how confident each is that it's possible to pick winners. Arnott makes a living trying to do just that--his firm Research Affiliates manages the PIMCO All Asset Fund, which switches money between asset classes as conditions and prices change. For the past few months, his favorites have been high-yield (junk) and investment-grade corporate bonds and convertible bonds. Siegel favors simplicity--and stocks. "My feeling is that stocks over the next 10 to 20 years are going to give above-average returns," he says...
...Booming prices for oil, copper, gold and other commodities over the past decade have produced annual GDP growth rates as high as 6% in some African countries. But the International Monetary Fund predicts continent-wide economic growth of only about 1.7% this year - compared with last year's growth estimate of about 5.5%. (See pictures of scared traders...
...death penalty, for example, on the grounds that it is imposed in a racially discriminatory way. The court rejected that claim in 1987, but Sotomayor might be sympathetic to it. In 1981, as a member of the board of directors of the Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund, she was part of a committee that recommended that the fund oppose the reinstatement of the death penalty in New York State on the grounds that "capital punishment is associated with evident racism in our society...