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One way to compensate is to pay attention to a broader range of forecasts. That's why there's no shortage of publishing and financial firms surveying groups of economists, presenting all of their opinions as "consensus" forecasts. A 2003 study by researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Are Economists So Bad at Forecasting? | 7/17/2009 | See Source »

I'm not trying to suggest that they have put aside their intention to drive Western forces out of Afghanistan, and I do not believe that al-Qaeda has put aside its intention to launch further attacks on the West. Far from it. Increasing casualty rates in the region, both...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Fighting the New Narcoterrorism Syndicates | 7/17/2009 | See Source »

David H. Gellis, a former Crimson managing editor and MD/MBA joint-degree candidate who helped organize the petition, said that "we have not gotten a response from the Dean providing further explanation of the funding cut or the status of the Division of Primary Care, so I think there still...

Author: By Peter F. Zhu, CRIMSON STAFF WRITER | Title: HMS Suspends Funding for Primary Care Division | 7/16/2009 | See Source »

The Sharks' precarious finances were thrown into further turmoil this year when a major sponsor, a fertilizer and fireproof-material conglomerate called Xiyang Group, pulled out of a contract two years early. If Yao's ownership deal does go through, as expected, it's not clear how much input Yao...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Semi-Pro: Yao Ming Buys His Former Chinese Team | 7/16/2009 | See Source »

An Incredible Tale The story of the monks from the Tibhirine monastery - some 55 miles (90 km) south of Algiers - has always been full of inconsistencies. A few weeks after the monks disappeared in late March 1996, a GIA statement claimed that the men had been grabbed so they could...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Could Seven Dead Monks Upset President Nicolas Sarkozy's Bold Plans To Remake France's Legal System? | 7/16/2009 | See Source »

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