Word: galluped
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...President David Neft, an unpublished Harris survey had Reagan six points ahead of Carter. Others picked up the trend too, and Wirthlin showed a widening gap through the weekend until Monday night when he, like Caddell, pegged the margin at about ten points in Reagan's favor. The Gallup survey, which eleven days before the election had Carter ahead by three points, found Reagan moving from 42% to 44% to 47% in its final survey, taken...
...except Caddell and Wirthlin came close to calling the margin. The Harris organization, which is claiming great credit for doing better than other public polls, was four points off Reagan's actual voting percentage, the largest error factor it has ever had in a presidential election. Gallup not only also missed the winner's voting percentage by four points but further erred by saying that Reagan was ahead by a margin of only three points. The margin was, says George Gallup, "a deviation greater than the average deviation of 2.3 percentage points for the 23 national elections covered...
...designed to explain away earlier numbers. Neft dismisses the notion that huge changes occurred at the last minute. Says he: "Nothing like that quantity and magnitude happened." He explains the Harris four-point discrepancy by citing unex pectedly low turnout among Democrats on Election Day, a view shared by Gallup...
...copy of the Alternative Service Book to Queen Elizabeth last week, Archbishop of York Stuart Blanch declared that the Book of Common Prayer was "imposed by law upon a largely unwilling church." The new liturgy, he stated, is a "people's book." Perhaps. But traditionalists cite a Gallup survey showing that a majority of English churchgoers favor the old rites over...
...simply feed the Gallup and Harris results into a computer and let laws and appropriations come out the other...