Word: galluping
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Last week Pollster George Gallup all but threw up his hands. "Unless this situation changes markedly between now and November 8," he said in Chicago, "no poll has any scientific basis for making a prediction...
...Gallup, who claims a 1.7% total error for his presidential predictions since 1948 (despite the fact that, with certain exceptions, his intrepid clipboard artists poll only 1,500 people in a nation of 181 million*), admitted that he would be lucky to come off with a 4% error this time. Reasons: 1) the religion issue "helps and hurts," 2) there is a marked lack of enthusiasm for either candidate, and 3) the popular vote, as polled so far is so close that a small change in either direction could mean an electoral landslide. Along with the familiar...
Thin Slices One key question for 1960: How much of Dwight Eisenhower's overwhelming 1956 margin can Dick Nixon hang on to? Last week the Gallup poll cut the question into thin, categorical slices with these results...
...Voters under 30, who split nearly down the middle for Eisenhower (49%) in 1952 and gave him a heavy majority (57%) in 1956, are turning Democratic, reported Pollster George Gallup. A recent sampling of the youthful electorate found 39% for Nixon, 61% for Kennedy-biggest score for a Democratic candidate since F.D.R...
...election in at least 25 years has sentiment been so closely divided or opinion so fluid." So wrote Dr. George Gallup last week after taking his third poll of the presidential campaign. For the first time since the conventions, Kennedy took the lead, if a slight one. Asked which candidate they favor or "lean" toward favoring, 48% of the voters chose Kennedy, 47% Nixon. Only 5% were undecided (a percentage considered too low by both candidates). In Gallup's first poll, immediately after the Republican Convention, Nixon led Kennedy 50% to 44%. In the second poll the two were...