Word: gdp
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...Some predict Japan will fare marginally better in its recession than the U.S. or the Eurozone. The Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) projects that 2009 GDP will grow 0.1% in Japan, compared with 0.9% in the U.S. and 0.5% across the Eurozone. "Financial-debt-to-GDP ratio is an advantage, and debt in the private sector has not increased, unlike in the U.S. and European countries," says Hiromichi Shirakawa, chief economist at Credit Suisse Japan. "The economy is less vulnerable." Nevertheless, he says, Japan is not an island: nothing points to an economic recovery in Japan unless...
...have started to fester beneath those glowing numbers. "On a whole, [the slowdown] is good for Macau," he says. "It was going too fast." Since 2003, gaming revenue has increased by an average of 30% per year, eclipsing that of the Las Vegas Strip by 2006. With 54% of GDP in 2007 coming from gaming, Macau has become somewhat of a one-trick pony that has neglected to develop other sectors. "The gaming industry has been growing at the expense of other industries," says Chan, who stresses that small- and medium-size businesses cannot match the high salaries offered...
Armed with this information and a few reasonable if not entirely uncontroversial assumptions about how the economy works, Zandi's firm has estimated the one-year impact on GDP of several stimulus proposals per dollar of spending or lost revenue; for example, a tax rebate like this summer's would generate $1.22 on the dollar. Extending unemployment benefits would bring in $1.63; infrastructure spending, $1.59; and a temporary increase in food-stamp benefits, $1.73. Making the Bush income tax cuts permanent would bring in just 31¢ on the dollar. So spending increases would seem to be in order. Bush...
...that consumers and businesses aren't spending enough to keep the economy growing; government either needs to tempt them into doing so with tax cuts or do the spending itself. In the U.S., many economists are urging a total stimulus of at least $300 billion, or 2% of GDP. A few say $500 billion or $600 billion makes more sense--and that's on top of the hundreds of billions already committed to bailing out financial institutions. Goldman Sachs chief U.S. economist Jan Hatzius, who is in the $500 billion camp, estimates that private spending will drop by at least...
...China A Chinese New Deal? With its GDP growth rate projected to slow from 12% in 2007 to less than 9% in 2009, China announced a $586 billion stimulus to buoy the economy. While much of the spending is not new, the plan is meant to sustain the country's recent prosperity--and reinforce its political stability...