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...credible contender is doing his best to manage expectations, because beating them in Iowa is almost as important as beating the other candidates. Kerry, for instance, likes the buzz his reinvigorated campaign has been getting, but aides are trying to tamp down speculation that it might vault him past Gephardt and into second place. "A strong third here is the ticket out of Iowa," says Kerry's state director, John Norris. And when Jim Bernau, the host of a Dean house party in Altoona, predicted Dean would beat Gephardt by 12 points, Dean quickly put a stop to that talk...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Campaign '04: The Iowa Effect | 1/19/2004 | See Source »

...chance to throw their vote to a second or even a third choice. And with delegates apportioned across the state in a mini-version of the Electoral College, a credible candidate must try to pull it off in every one of Iowa's 99 counties. Says the veteran Gephardt: "It doesn't do you a lot of good to have a runaway margin in one county or two or three, even if it's highly populated...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Campaign '04: The Iowa Effect | 1/19/2004 | See Source »

...DICK GEPHARDT'S LAST CALL...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Campaign '04: The Iowa Effect | 1/19/2004 | See Source »

...have come as a revelation to Dean, but Gephardt could have told him Iowans like a fresh face and a voice that expresses their frustration. In 1988 Gephardt was that face and that voice. This time, the former House Democratic leader is trying to convince Iowa that experience counts for something...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Campaign '04: The Iowa Effect | 1/19/2004 | See Source »

Which is not to say Iowans don't like him--especially when they meet him in person. Retired school custodian Jack Fees arrived at an Edwards appearance last week in Des Moines trying to decide among Edwards, Gephardt and Kerry. He was sold. "He reminded me of J.F.K., the way he talks and tells it like it is, and he's the underdog," Fees said of Edwards. What Iowa did for Edwards was to get him to overcome his lack of gravitas with more meaty and populist ideas in line with Iowa voters. But the problem is, not even...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Campaign '04: The Iowa Effect | 1/19/2004 | See Source »

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