Word: giuliani
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Already, of course, the G.O.P. race has given new meaning to the term "up for grabs." After holding primaries and caucuses in six states, no clear front-runner has emerged. Mitt Romney has won three; John McCain has won two; Mike Huckabee has won one. If Rudy Giuliani, who has banked his entire campaign on a late entry in Florida, somehow prevails next week, Round 7 will only add to the confusion...
...Rudy Giuliani: He took a big gamble, effectively skipping the early round of contests and staking everything on Florida. Will his 9/11 fame carry him through there? Giuliani has spent most of the past year leading in Florida, but has been sinking there in recent weeks, to the point where he now trails McCain in the latest polls...
...Florida, when the state holds its primary on Jan. 29 and the race for the nomination will essentially be reset. "McCain comes into this thing with momentum, but so does Mitt Romney," says unaligned Republican pollster Neil Newhouse. (Romney won Saturday's largely uncontested Nevada caucus.) "And Rudy Giuliani is waiting down there with a welcome sign. It's the only state where all four of the leading candidates have a shot to win this thing...
Polls show the Florida race split almost evenly among the three candidates who have won a major primary or caucus and Giuliani, whose campaign strategy was prefaced on ignoring the early states and betting big on Florida. "It's a microcosm of the nation in many ways," says Newhouse. "It's southern, with an extensive northern population. There's a substantial population of establishment Republicans, a substantial population of evangelical Republicans. If [a candidate] can win Florida, they can probably win the nomination...
...economy that Romney's private sector success is not as important as his record of government experience. (And Fred Thompson may not hang in long enough to be spoiler among conservative Florida Republicans.) Even more dramatically, McCain must make the case to moderates and independents that he, not Giuliani, best represents their interests. "My guess is that we'll split the moderates with Giuliani," concedes McCain adviser Charlie Black. "But we're gonna win a lot of conservatives. We beat Romney with conservatives here and we'll certainly beat him with conservatives in Florida...