Word: giuliani
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...Rudy Giuliani has been running for President in a blur-literally. He needs his eyeglasses to see distance, but at most events he won't wear them. Instead, he rattles through his stump speech-tax cuts increase revenue, beware of Hillary Clinton, remember 9/11-while gazing into a fuzzy void. The spectacles come on only briefly, during question time, so he can make eye contact with his inquisitors...
...This is ironic because Giuliani has run the most strategically farsighted campaign in the Republican field. When he came in fifth in Iowa, he hardly flinched. "We put our emphasis on other places," he said. When a Southern pastor, Mike Huckabee, beat him in New Hampshire, Giuliani was upbeat. "This is just the beginning," he chirped. When the libertarian scold Ron Paul cleaned his clock in South Carolina, the former New York mayor acted as if victory would soon be upon him. "I'm an optimist," he announced...
...Already, of course, the G.O.P. race has given new meaning to the term "up for grabs." After holding primaries and caucuses in six states, no clear front-runner has emerged. Mitt Romney has won three; John McCain has won two; Mike Huckabee has won one. If Rudy Giuliani, who has banked his entire campaign on a late entry in Florida, somehow prevails next week, Round 7 will only add to the confusion...
...stand now - admittedly a useless indicator - the candidates are poised to split the spoils on February 5, even if we assume everyone contends for the trove of G.O.P. delegates at play in California, which is not a winner-take-all state. Let's imagine for a minute that Rudy Giuliani concentrates his efforts on four winner-take-all-states in his backyard: New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Delaware. If he won those states and (for discussion's sake) one quarter of California's congressional districts, he would take home about 343 delegates...
...economy that Romney's private sector success is not as important as his record of government experience. (And Fred Thompson may not hang in long enough to be spoiler among conservative Florida Republicans.) Even more dramatically, McCain must make the case to moderates and independents that he, not Giuliani, best represents their interests. "My guess is that we'll split the moderates with Giuliani," concedes McCain adviser Charlie Black. "But we're gonna win a lot of conservatives. We beat Romney with conservatives here and we'll certainly beat him with conservatives in Florida...