Word: giuliani
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...these critics may be underestimating his strengths. As with Hillary Clinton, this is not his first rodeo (a phrase that rolls smoothly in his accent). Like Barack Obama, he is poised and compelling. Like Rudy Giuliani, he can fall back on bold self-confidence in the face of tricky questions. Like John McCain, he can appeal to independents. And like George W. Bush in 2000, he presents a decided equanimity toward his future. As he told an interviewer, "One advantage you have in not having this as [a] lifelong ambition is that if it turns out that your calculation...
...before he landed in Brazil, a flurry of news stories circulated about how the Pope's pronouncement could mean that thousands of Catholic politicians who support abortion rights were at risk of excommunication. Several Mexican pols said they would ignore the Pope's declaration, though U.S. Presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani quipped that it's best not to argue with the Pope...
...Republican race has been more volatile. McCain and Giuliani were co?front runners in the polls at the beginning of this year, and there was even considerable speculation that Giuliani wouldn't run. Then in the first few months of 2007, McCain lost about a third of his support as Giuliani entered the race and took a commanding lead in the polls, approaching 40% a couple of months ago. Now he's fallen back. Today Giuliani is in the lead at about 27%, with McCain at about 21%, followed by Romney and the two not-yet-candidates, Thompson and Gingrich...
...whereas three-fifths of the Democratic vote now goes to the two front-runners, fewer than half of Republicans support Giuliani or McCain. What's more, one recent survey had only 52% of Republican primary voters saying they were satisfied with the current crop of candidates running for their party's Presidential nomination, compared with 77% of Democratic primary voters. The door is open far wider for Thompson-and perhaps Gingrich-to enter the G.O.P. race than it is for Gore to join the Democratic contest...
...G.O.P. race features real differences among the candidates on important and salient issues. Giuliani is pro-choice-and apparently pro-Roe v. Wade-in a pro-life, anti-Roe party. McCain is for something like amnesty for illegal immigrants in a party that is not. There's lots of room for Romney to move up, which he is now doing (he leads in a new Iowa poll), and for Thompson to get in (which he intends to do next month). Romney or Thompson will then battle to become the conservative alternative. It's quite possible that the winner of that...