Word: gm
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Even trickier for a Democratic Administration is telling hard truths to the union. On that score, Obama's toughness has gained him some street cred in business circles - even drawing faint praise from a Wall Street Journal editorial. The task force has made it clear that GM can't afford the renegotiated wage-and-benefits package the UAW agreed to in 2007. Even using GM's best-case scenario, the company projected a negative net cash flow of $14.5 billion over the next six years. Most of that deficit can be accounted for in retiree health and pension benefits - which...
...harder job facing the Administration comes when the 60-day window is up for restructuring GM outside of bankruptcy. The biggest challenge for GM remains fashioning a plan acceptable to the UAW, which represent GM's 62,000 workers, and its bondholders, mostly banks and other large institutions, which are owed some $27.5 billion and by law are first in line to get paid back. It's fairly clear the Administration wants to make bondholders eat huge losses - or make them try their luck in bankruptcy court. "No bankruptcy judge is going to rule against GM and its plan...
...Should GM go into bankruptcy, the plan would involve forming one company around bad assets, such as Hummer and Saturn, and dumping the retiree health-care liabilities into it. That company could be sold off or wound down. A second company would comprise the better performing Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac, Pontiac and GMC brands. That ongoing firm could be partly owned by the bondholders, the UAW and other creditors...
...Coming Car Boom Once the dust settles, the new GM, or whatever replaces it, is likely to see a marketplace of consumers finally ready to spend money on new cars. GM's executives aren't entirely off base in thinking that pent-up demand is building, because it is. "Assuming general economic recovery, in the developed markets we will see maybe 95% of what it had been," says John Paul MacDuffie, an associate professor of management and co-director of the International Motor Vehicle Program at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. U.S. auto and light-truck sales...
...case to be made that North American demand will approach 16 million units within five years. "We haven't seen this kind of positive force in replacement demand for this amount for a while," says the auto economist. And thanks to growing overseas markets like China and Russia, where GM is well positioned, industry growth outside the U.S. will be even greater...