Word: goldenberg
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...growing number of scientists believe that conditions favorable for brewing more and even bigger hurricanes in the Atlantic locked into place about eight years ago and will probably persist for at least a decade and maybe longer. "We're not talking about a minor little increase," says Stanley Goldenberg, a hurricane expert with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, "but an overall doubling of major hurricane activity...
Starting in 1995, Goldenberg notes, the corridor of warm water that lies between the Cape Verde Islands and Central America has been producing, on average, nearly four big storms a year, as compared with fewer than two in the preceding three decades. And that has caused him and others to snap to attention. Unlike the Pacific and Indian oceans, notes Colorado State University meteorologist William Gray, "the Atlantic is a marginal area for tropical storms. When global conditions are not right, it sees very few, and when they are, it sees quite...
...there may be a lot more involved. Goldenberg and his colleagues, for example, are focusing on a multidecade oscillation in Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that closely tracks long-term patterns in hurricane activity. Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic rose, for example, between the 1920s and 1970, when hurricane activity was high. And sea-surface temperatures fell in the 1970s, '80s and early '90s, just as hurricane activity dampened...
...problem with that is that the oscillation in Atlantic sea-surface temperatures is not large--less than 2°F at maximum--and so it's not easy to explain how this would be so critical to hurricane formation. Yes, says Goldenberg, warm water is the energy source for hurricanes, and so any temperature rise represents an increase in available fuel. Even more important, however, may be the impact that higher sea-surface temperatures have on wind patterns. That's because there are two ways to change wind shear. One is by reducing or amplifying high-level winds, which is what...
Kenya ranks near the bottom of Berlin-based Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions Index, beaten only by such "show-me-the-money" countries as Nigeria and Indonesia. High-level corruption continues unabated, as evidenced by the 1990s Goldenberg scandal - named for a company that allegedly exported nonexistent gold and then claimed export credits from the Central Bank. The financial scam cost Kenya at least $400 million and allegedly involved top officials and senior politicians close to President Daniel arap Moi. International donors have frozen funds earmarked for Kenya in large part because of the country's failure...