Word: gop
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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Kemp joined former Gov. Pete du Pont of Delaware and former Secretary of State Alexander M. Haig Jr. as announced Republican candidates. Vice President George Bush, Senate GOP leader Bob Dole of Kansas, former Sen. Paul Laxalt of Nevada and the Rev. Pat Robertson also are expected...
...Robert Dole or George Bush receives the Republican nomination, Democrats will at best be able to split the Mid-West. The big industrial states of Ohio and Illinois will go Democratic, although a healthy economy could help the GOP. The farm states will vote Republican, as they have in the past four elections...
This leaves the two parties at a virtual dead heat--the Dems with 181 electoral college votes and the GOP with 190. Whoever captures California and the South wins...
WHICH OF the probable Democratic candidates could do well in the white South? The presence of a woman or a minority on the ticket in 1988--even in the VP slot--will almost certainly throw the South whole-heartedly into the GOP camp...
Democrats will already be at a disadvantage in 1988. The Republicans will be the incumbent party during a period of decent economic growth. Reagan will still have enough popularity to lend significant support to the GOP nominee...