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...Reports of a Christian conservative takeover of the GOP have been exaggerated. While the evangelical right is a key part of the Republican coalition, it's not decisive - certainly not in a swing state. Sixty percent of Missouri voters in the Republican exit poll said they attend church least once a week. Even more - 76% - said abortion should be illegal. Yet the winner was not the first choice of evangelical Protestants opposed to abortion. Conservative Christians buoyed Mike Huckabee to a strong second-place, but Huck's inability to reach beyond that base left him an also...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What the Show-Me State Shows | 2/6/2008 | See Source »

Here's a quick rundown of the many advantages the Democrats enjoy at this stage of the 2008 campaign. Voter turnout in most states is running well ahead of that for the GOP. Democratic fund-raising continues to break all records-even those set previously by Republicans. The Democrats' issues cupboard is fuller than it has been in a decade and a half. And voters have narrowed the field to two wildly popular candidates, either of whom would make history if nominated, much less elected...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Clinton, Obama: Why Not Both? | 2/6/2008 | See Source »

Last summer, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani took time out of a GOP debate to defend John McCain: "I happen to be a very big admirer of Senator McCain and I can tell you quite honestly that if I weren't running for President I would be here supporting him." Pundits speculated that the praise was simply a kind word for the man whose campaign had recently exploded, plagued by debt and defections. Privately, McCain advisers wondered if Giuliani was playing nice in order to secure McCain's endorsement after he dropped out of the race...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The 'I Hate Romney' Club | 2/3/2008 | See Source »

...near the presidency was Theodore Roosevelt in 1912, and he had been President before. Since then, four third-party candidates have gotten more than 5% of the vote. And each of them had something Bloomberg lacks: a popular issue that the major parties wouldn't touch. In 1924, the gop ran Calvin Coolidge, the most conservative President of the 20th century, and the most boring. But his Democratic opponent, John W. Davis, was pretty conservative too. And so Robert La Follette, the only progressive in the race, won 17% of the vote. In 1968, the Democrats were pro--civil rights...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Bloomberg Delusion | 1/31/2008 | See Source »

...third-party candidate with the best chance in 2008 would be a saner Perot. As in 1992, the GOP coalition is cracking along class lines. Many working-class Republicans and independents who backed George W. Bush because he was tough on al-Qaeda now want a President who is tough on globalization. Illegal immigration has supplanted terrorism on the list of concerns for the American right. And at the party's grass roots, voters are turning hard against free trade. Last fall a Wall Street Journal poll found that nearly twice as many Republicans think trade deals hurt as think...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Bloomberg Delusion | 1/31/2008 | See Source »

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