Word: gorbachev
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...affairs and arms-control specialist Paul Nitze [Nov. 1], he was the consummate Washington insider who made his mark in a number of official positions. As nuclear arms-reduction negotiator, he was covered by TIME correspondent Strobe Talbott, who wrote a profile of Nitze when Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev signed the historic arms accord reducing their countries' arsenals of nuclear weapons...
...near Geneva in an effort to break a deadlock over another arms agreement. The ploy failed?it was later the subject of the play A Walk in the Woods?but it began a push toward arms control, and Nitze later helped craft a treaty between Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev. Although a godfather of the neoconservative movement, Nitze had become in recent months a critic of U.S. policy in Iraq and Afghanistan...
...scenarios to come true. In the 1970s, he and his mentors at Shell warned of the rise of OPEC and the oil crisis, and as the cold war raged in the 1980s, he foresaw the downfall of the Soviet Union and the rise of an obscure apparatchik named Mikhail Gorbachev...
...Schwartz flinches when you call any of them predictions, since each scenario is only one of a set. The Greening of Russia scenario that foresaw the rise of Gorbachev, for example, was balanced against the New Stalinism, which imagined a hard-line Soviet backlash. "If you try to predict something," says Schwartz, "you end up with very conventional ideas. Scenarios help you anticipate surprises...
Krauthammer may claim that Reagan won the cold war, but in 1990, two years after the Gipper left office, the Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Mikhail Gorbachev, the Russian reformer who presided so masterfully over the Soviet Union's demise. MORT PAULSON Silver Spring...