Word: growth
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...Investors may respond with huge cheers to the new earnings forecasts, but Goldman Sachs is not so ebullient. In fact, the firm goes to great lengths to point out the distortions to its growth projections and adds that without the GM effect, the consumer-discretionary stock group would see a far more modest 17% growth next year - not bad, but no blowout...
...other sobering note in Goldman's bullish report today is the clearly stated anxiety over next year's economy. "Although our current economic outlook is for below-trend growth through 2010, the risk of a 'double-dip' recession remains significant," the report notes. That said, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end price target for the stock market 13%, sending a strong message to institutional investors to not sit on their hands, even in the face of major uncertainties. Among the stock groups Goldman favors: energy, basic materials, financials and technology...
...growth, manufacturers must increasingly look to emerging markets like China and to green fields like 3-D. Industry analysts are excited by the prospects of the new display technology. More 3-D movies are being made, and makers of flat-panel TVs are developing 3-D displays. "Every kind of consumer product has the potential to start to use 3-D technology," says Moriyama, who estimates Fuji's camera could capture as much as 5% of the digicam market in the next year or two. "It's a long-term technological trend," he says. (Read "Are 3-D Movies Ready...
...that more obvious than in Spain where unemployment in the general population runs to more than 17% and one in three people younger than 25 is out of work. Many have no frame of reference for what is happening; they grew up with two decades of strong economic growth and the optimistic assumption that they would be better off than their parents, just as their parents did better than the generation before them. The realization that Nikes, Wiis and cell phones are not their birthright comes as a hard lesson. With credit tight, young Spaniards are finding it virtually impossible...
Until recently, Spain was one of the European Union's great success stories. In 1992, Spain's per capita GDP was 70% of the E.U. average; by 2006 it was 90% of that of the 15 pre-2004 members. Growth helped cut unemployment, which had hovered near 20% for decades, to 8.3% in 2007, and drew hundreds of thousands of immigrants to a country that had, in the '50s and '60s, sent its own desperate citizens abroad. (Read: "Bitter Harvest in Spain's Olive Country...